In an article in the Daily Californian today, it talks about what effect it will have the the UC campuses if they get rid of affirmative action. It seems that there is concern that less people will go to UC schools. The logic is that the people who get rejected from Berkeley and UCLA, those who would have gotten in under affirmative action, the logic is that they will not want to settle for the less competitive UCs and they will go outside of the UC system, decreasing UC enrollment. I think the opposite will happen.
This article seems to forget about the people who will get into UC Berkeley and UCLA, but who wouldn't have under affirmative action. I bet there area lot of people who, in the past, would have been rejected by UCLA and UC Berkeley and who would have looked outside the UC system, and now they wll get into Berkeley and UCLA and go there. The article doesn't mention these people. The article makes it out as if Berkeley and UCLA are simply down sizing and hoping that everyone else will go to other UC campuses. This is not the way it is. They are not downsizing. They are just admitting different people, but still the same number of people. I don't see any logical reason why we would expect more or less people to stay in the UC system. If we were to draw these conclusions if would have to be with the following kind of logic like, "Oh, we're going to admit more Asians and less Hispanics to Berkeley. If we didn't admit those Asians, then they'd all go to UC Irvine, but those Hispanics that we're now going to admit less of, they are going to go to Stanford." But I don't think we can draw this knid of conclusion, and certainly this article made no mention of this kind of logic.